Week 14 NFL betting tips and predictions: Top bets for Texans-Chiefs game

As Week 14 kicks off, the NFL continues to deliver excitement. Thursday Night Football saw the Detroit Lions beat the Dallas Cowboys 44-30, keeping their playoff hopes alive as 3.5-point favorites. What does the rest of the weekend hold for bettors? Our NFL analysts have compiled their top selections for this weeks matchups. Odds are courtesy of BetMGM and may change.

Miami Dolphins (-3, 41.5) at New York Jets

Location: MetLife Stadium, NJ

Pick: New York Jets +3

The Jets have struggled defensively, recording only two takeaways all season and zero interceptions, despite pressuring quarterbacks effectively. Miami, meanwhile, is underperforming, rated below the league average. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor has managed reasonably well with a limited receiving corps. According to advanced metrics, the Jets have a slight home advantage, making the +3 line an appealing option.

Seattle Seahawks (-7, 44.5) at Atlanta Falcons

Pick: Seahawks -7 (-105)

Seattle has been formidable on the road, with an 11-1 straight-up record and 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 away games. Despite a .500 record as road favorites, their recent performance, including a 26-0 win over the Vikings, makes them a strong choice. Atlanta, having lost six of seven games, continues to struggle, leaving the Seahawks well-positioned to cover the spread.

Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, 47) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: Trevor Lawrence over 0.5 interceptions (-135)

Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has thrown 11 interceptions this season, ranking among the leagues highest. Facing an Indianapolis defense that has intercepted passes in nine games, Lawrence is likely to give up at least one more turnover. History supports this, as the Colts have intercepted him in each of their last three meetings.

Los Angeles Rams (-8, 47.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Location: State Farm Stadium, AZ

Pick: Jacoby Brissett over 37.5 pass attempts (-125)

Cardinals backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett has been forced to throw frequently in recent games, averaging 43 attempts per start. With the Rams coming off a narrow loss and aiming to assert dominance, Brissett is expected to exceed 37 pass attempts once again, continuing the trend from his last eight starts.

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 41.5)

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, MO

Picks: Under 41.5 points, Mahomes under 241.5 passing yards

Both teams have a history of low-scoring games. The Texans defense has limited opponents to under 20 points in nine games this season, while Chiefs visitors have averaged only 14 points. Historical trends and strong defensive units on both sides suggest the total will remain under 41.5. Additionally, Patrick Mahomes passing is projected to stay under 241.5 yards, especially with a likely game script where Kansas City leads late.

Author: Harper Simmons